Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 7.873312 8.685260 9.568925 10.606126 11.795342 13.122332 14.723584
2026-01-18 6.876607 7.971408 9.244098 10.847632 12.835085 15.245600 18.434210
2026-01-25 6.086824 7.285864 8.741292 10.664805 13.181262 16.421324 21.010378
2026-02-01 5.526383 6.783195 8.361762 10.529962 13.495751 17.511986 23.548627
2026-02-08 5.070001 6.352394 8.009200 10.359694 13.699676 18.426369 25.919259
2026-02-15 4.677900 5.963470 7.664574 10.145916 13.790968 19.155303 28.080535
2026-02-22 4.398354 5.697895 7.456296 10.089472 14.082757 20.188146 30.847921
2026-03-01 4.065783 5.333216 7.078335 9.746375 13.896888 20.442229 32.335204
2026-03-08 3.730737 4.942609 6.634656 9.265180 13.443102 20.202064 32.900755
2026-03-15 3.520757 4.715699 6.409996 9.093517 13.456139 20.721845 34.910324
2026-03-22 3.584232 4.883801 6.771764 9.852155 15.052250 24.135931 43.064954
2026-03-29 3.502452 4.831854 6.797526 10.075435 15.766492 26.074176 48.667359
2026-04-05 3.308517 4.606810 6.552099 9.850095 15.700480 26.598813 51.462601
2026-04-12 3.232575 4.556398 6.575056 10.073839 16.463191 28.832554 58.677694
2026-04-19 3.078396 4.376324 6.380042 9.907678 16.485005 29.579207 62.513500
2026-04-26 2.945919 4.222913 6.218147 9.785195 16.574310 30.474128 66.949229
2026-05-03 2.817249 4.068902 6.045978 9.630460 16.583289 31.194623 71.110454
2026-05-10 2.690353 3.911658 5.859643 9.436081 16.493191 31.681523 74.753845
2026-05-17 2.599066 3.807395 5.755921 9.384739 16.686810 32.841325 80.712442
2026-05-24 2.466621 3.630548 5.520547 9.072478 16.310132 32.610246 82.329653
2026-05-31 2.319699 3.424688 5.226998 8.634000 15.632951 31.579528 81.154393
2026-06-07 2.230257 3.310333 5.085929 8.477423 15.546053 31.990288 84.907287
2026-06-14 2.287104 3.440696 5.375161 9.168784 17.375041 37.532480 108.692635